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  #51  
Old 18-12-2015, 04:49 PM
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About bloody time its snowing but only round my car lol

Looks good, but sat too low, especially on the back IMHO.
Well below the optimal setting for a classic.
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  #52  
Old 25-12-2015, 07:36 PM
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Been watching this on the Model runs for 4 days now. We are now close enough for this to be a concern. The model runs 4 times a day, using live data, and predictive data to forecast ahead. The closer we get to the event, the higher % chance of it being correct...etc etc

At first, this area of LP was just one, and run easterly across northern England again!

The last few runs have plotted it further south. The latest runs see's two strong areas of LP, one after the other with 90+ MPH gust speeds.

Hold on to your hats, Tuesday and Wednesday could get very windy....


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  #53  
Old 01-01-2016, 08:51 PM
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The Atlantic is in full steam now, chucking area after area of LP towards us. The posistion of the jetstream normally flings them further north as they make land fall. The current track on a fairly potent area of LP on Thursday is right along the channel, with the highest winds brushing the south east cost. Potential for 70mph+ gusts.
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  #54  
Old 02-01-2016, 03:19 PM
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Oh great. I've had enough of this wind and rain now, can't we have some nice crisp sunny winter days now?
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  #55  
Old 02-01-2016, 03:36 PM
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Oh great. I've had enough of this wind and rain now, can't we have some nice crisp sunny winter days now?
Agreed.

Someone I know earlier said how "lucky" we'd been to have had so much mild weather. That's not how I see it!!
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  #56  
Old 03-01-2016, 12:22 PM
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High pressure to the North East has held this back in the Atlantic. Current GFS shows the area of LP running over North France.
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  #57  
Old 03-01-2016, 12:23 PM
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Oh great. I've had enough of this wind and rain now, can't we have some nice crisp sunny winter days now?
Your wish is granted, much colder this week
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  #58  
Old 03-01-2016, 07:21 PM
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High pressure to the North East has held this back in the Atlantic. Current GFS shows the area of LP running over North France.
So we're going to dodge the worst of the weather then?
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  #59  
Old 03-01-2016, 08:18 PM
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So we're going to dodge the worst of the weather then?
Nope
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  #60  
Old 06-01-2016, 07:38 PM
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Its coming!!
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  #61  
Old 06-01-2016, 07:41 PM
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Its coming!!

yaaaaay.....not

whats that more Rain or the dreaded snow??

So when will we have the pleasure then???
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  #62  
Old 13-01-2016, 08:56 AM
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Steve's got his wish, everyone cold enough this morning? The coldest night will be Sat into Sun.

Scotty...ready for some white stuff?

We may get the odd overnight flurry, but our day times temps and air freezing height are not a good set up. ��
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  #63  
Old 13-01-2016, 11:02 AM
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Lovely out there this morning, sunny and crisp. Much better than wet and windy, even if it is a tad nippy

No snow for the south east then?
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  #64  
Old 13-01-2016, 12:03 PM
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Definitely a bit fresher this week, had to scrape a thin layer of ice off the windscreen this morning!
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  #65  
Old 13-01-2016, 12:12 PM
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Snow will be a great test of the snow mode function on the supra... I'm not holding out much faith in it
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  #66  
Old 13-01-2016, 02:18 PM
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Always ready for snow mind you its been snowing in different areas in the last week or 2 but none in my area lol .
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  #67  
Old 13-01-2016, 03:28 PM
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Biggest chance we have in the south is sun/Mon. Need the overnight temps to be low, then slow to warm up during the day, otherwise is just mush that falls. Monday morning drive to work could be fun
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  #68  
Old 13-01-2016, 05:54 PM
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Snow will be a great test of the snow mode function on the supra... I'm not holding out much faith in it
Had snow mode on an Omega, it was as much use as a chocolate teapot
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  #69  
Old 16-01-2016, 02:19 PM
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The snow is here woo hoo
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  #70  
Old 16-01-2016, 05:17 PM
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Just back from a drive lol

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  #71  
Old 16-01-2016, 09:58 PM
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Do you reckon it'll get this far south overnight, Nick?

Reports seem a bit mixed.
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  #72  
Old 16-01-2016, 10:41 PM
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Theres a 100 mile wide strip heading down in a southeasterly direction, I think it will miss most of Surrey, but London and Kent may see soome flurries. The bonus is that it made it down to us during the night, so will be snow rather than mush. Fingers crossed though.
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  #73  
Old 16-01-2016, 10:56 PM
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It's just started lightly snowing here.
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  #74  
Old 17-01-2016, 06:28 AM
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When I'm warm enough I'll look out the window and see if I've had a dusting Pmsl
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  #75  
Old 17-01-2016, 08:17 AM
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We've had a little bit, nothing too special though.
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  #76  
Old 17-01-2016, 01:18 PM
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Nothing here, albeit there are some places in the region who have had some
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  #77  
Old 17-01-2016, 01:24 PM
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There was enough here in the end to get out to the park and build a snowman with the Stiglet.

The roads were clear, so no fun to be had.
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  #78  
Old 17-01-2016, 10:27 PM
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Well the snow in Beckenham this morning was more "sky dandruff" than snow, it was hardly worth it.

I reckon we're in for round 2 soon though.
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  #79  
Old 18-01-2016, 10:58 AM
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We had a fair bit at ours yesterday morning but it didnt stick around long.
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  #80  
Old 19-01-2016, 07:19 PM
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The sign's of SSW are starting to show, will know more in a week. I wont explain SSW ( Sudden Stratospheric Warming) as its very long winded and dull...

But it translates to much, much colder weather.

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  #81  
Old 19-01-2016, 08:02 PM
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Now call me an idiot, but how does something called 'sudden stratospheric warming' equate to it getting colder?
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  #82  
Old 19-01-2016, 08:17 PM
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Now call me an idiot, but how does something called 'sudden stratospheric warming' equate to it getting colder?

I presume being stratospheric it's quite high up and probably impacts temperatures and pressures but through changeable weather at lower altitude... But I'm no expert so am stabbing in the dark here!
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Old 19-01-2016, 08:46 PM
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- sounds good rob Pmsl
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  #84  
Old 19-01-2016, 08:51 PM
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- sounds good rob Pmsl

Thought A-Level Geography might crop up again somewhere in my life, I didn't get a great exam result though and my guess above could back that up.
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  #85  
Old 19-01-2016, 09:39 PM
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I presume being stratospheric it's quite high up and probably impacts temperatures and pressures but through changeable weather at lower altitude... But I'm no expert so am stabbing in the dark here!

Pretty much, pushes colder weather out from the poles. Forces the jetstream to take a more southerly route.

Before Nathan Rao and crew go all SNOWMAGEDDON again, the signs are its starting, along with a now negative AO, it looks like the early winter reports of warm start/cold finish are looking more likely. Some of the data being thrown about is very similar to Dec 2010.
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Old 30-01-2016, 10:28 AM
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The white fluffy substance is here again whoop whoop
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  #87  
Old 03-02-2016, 10:44 AM
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Looking very likely that's its our turn for the wind down south. Current wind charts are saying 100mph+ along the south coast Tuesday daytime! Something to keep a eye on.
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Old 03-02-2016, 10:59 AM
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Looking very likely that's its our turn for the wind down south. Current wind charts are saying 100mph+ along the south coast Tuesday daytime! Something to keep a eye on.
i check this thread for updates daily Nick ,,, whats the outlook like for some decent snow event now looking at the models ?
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Old 03-02-2016, 11:03 AM
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Current wind charts are saying 100mph+ along the south coast Tuesday daytime! Something to keep a eye on.
Oh feck, my back garden fence is only just hanging onto life as it is
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Old 03-02-2016, 11:06 AM
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Well, I deliberately haven't mentioned snow. But the words "major snow event" are currently being chucked about. The trouble with the charts is that everyone starts to look so far ahead that it becomes pure simulation, rather than data based on actual weather.
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Old 03-02-2016, 11:09 AM
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gotcha ,,, guess thats why i like your forecasts so much as you prefer accuracy over possibilities ,, ok well ill keep checking here in hope
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Old 03-02-2016, 01:41 PM
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Hi Nick,any chance you could extend your regular forecasts to cover Northern France.
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Old 03-02-2016, 11:52 PM
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12 hours later and the wind charts are the same, you can see the 80-90 centre running through the channel west to east. Coastal areas and northan france possibly gusts over 70mph.

Theres a definite shift for the areas of low presure moving further south each time now. This means the cold air gets dragged further south behind them.

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Old 04-02-2016, 09:21 AM
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Thanks Nick. Any sunshine on the way?
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Old 04-02-2016, 02:01 PM
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The area of low pressure on sat/sun has deepened rapidly. High winds possible 60mph gusts and a shed load of rain!
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Old 07-02-2016, 08:26 AM
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The Jet stream has has accelerated the weather, the LP will now arrive Sunday Night and through into Monday. The SW will take the brunt of it, but as it moves east along the coast. high winds and rain still expected.

As it pulls cold air in behind, chance of Sleet early Tuesday.
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Old 13-02-2016, 02:06 PM
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Well todays forcast in Central Scotland is erm cold and well white lol
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Old 23-02-2016, 01:58 PM
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Everyone needs to get up 5 minutes earlier for the next 4 to 5 days. Morning frosts and ice.
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Old 23-02-2016, 02:22 PM
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Not me i dont start work until 2pm lol
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Old 23-02-2016, 05:46 PM
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Quote:
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Not me i dont start work until 2pm lol
You have a yellow warning for Snow/Ice
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